{"id":52078,"date":"2022-03-05T09:24:52","date_gmt":"2022-03-05T13:24:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/?p=52078"},"modified":"2022-03-05T09:24:52","modified_gmt":"2022-03-05T13:24:52","slug":"termination-event-may-indicate-solar-cycle-strength","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2022\/03\/termination-event-may-indicate-solar-cycle-strength\/","title":{"rendered":"Termination Event May Indicate Solar Cycle Strength"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/newprediction.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-52079\" src=\"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/newprediction.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1023\" height=\"415\" srcset=\"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/newprediction.jpg 1023w, https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/newprediction-300x122.jpg 300w, https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/newprediction-768x312.jpg 768w, https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/newprediction-624x253.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1023px) 100vw, 1023px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Predictions for Solar Cycle 25. Blue is the \u201cofficial\u201d prediction of a weak cycle. Red is a new prediction based on the Termination Event.<\/strong> <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Feb. 26, 2022:<\/strong> Something big just happened on the sun. Solar physicists Scott McIntosh (NCAR) and Bob Leamon (U. Maryland-Baltimore County) call it \u201cThe Termination Event.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOld Solar Cycle 24 has finally died\u2013it was terminated!\u201d says McIntosh. \u201cNow the new solar cycle, Solar Cycle 25, can really take off.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The \u201cTermination Event\u201d is a new idea in solar physics, outlined by McIntosh and Leamon in <a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s11207-020-01723-y\/\">a December 2020 paper<\/a> in the journal <em>Solar Physics<\/em>. Not everyone accepts it\u2013yet. If Solar Cycle 25 unfolds as McIntosh and Leamon predict, the Termination Event will have to be taken seriously.<\/p>\n<p>(Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweatherarchive.com\/2022\/02\/25\/the-termination-event-has-arrived\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">full story here<\/a> at Spaceweather.com)<\/p>\n<p><em>Robert Gulley, K4PKM (formerly AK3Q), is the author of this post and <a href=\"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/author\/robert\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a regular contributor<\/a> to the SWLing Post.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predictions for Solar Cycle 25. Blue is the \u201cofficial\u201d prediction of a weak cycle. Red is a new prediction based on the Termination Event. Feb. 26, 2022: Something big just happened on the sun. Solar physicists Scott McIntosh (NCAR) and Bob Leamon (U. Maryland-Baltimore County) call it \u201cThe Termination Event.\u201d \u201cOld Solar Cycle 24 has [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3194,545,3,43,9694],"tags":[7837,414],"class_list":["post-52078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-guest-posts","category-ham-radio","category-news","category-shortwave-radio","category-solar-conditions","tag-solar-cycle","tag-solar-cycle-25"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pn3uc-dxY","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":52084,"url":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2022\/03\/radio-waves-termination-event-russian-propaganda-in-dc-renewed-relevance-circumventing-censorship-and-old-school-radio-sense\/","url_meta":{"origin":52078,"position":0},"title":"Radio Waves: Termination Event, Russian Propaganda in DC, Renewed Relevance, Circumventing Censorship, and Old-School Radio Sense","author":"Thomas","date":"March 9, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Radio Waves:\u00a0 Stories Making Waves in the World of Radio Because I keep my ear to the waves, as well as receive many tips from others who do the same, I find myself privy to radio-related stories that might interest\u00a0SWLing Post\u00a0readers.\u00a0 To that end:\u00a0Welcome to the\u00a0SWLing Post\u2019s Radio Waves, a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;International Broadcasting&quot;","block_context":{"text":"International Broadcasting","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/category\/international-broadcasting\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Russia-Moscow-Kremlin.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Russia-Moscow-Kremlin.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Russia-Moscow-Kremlin.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Russia-Moscow-Kremlin.jpeg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":49879,"url":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2021\/08\/radio-waves-solar-cycle-25-looking-up-vintage-radio-flea-market-finds-the-sbitx-sdr-and-more-power-to-radio-caroline\/","url_meta":{"origin":52078,"position":1},"title":"Radio Waves: Solar Cycle 25 Looking Up, Vintage Radio Flea Market Finds, the SBITX SDR, and More Power to Radio Caroline","author":"Thomas","date":"August 8, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Radio Waves:\u00a0 Stories Making Waves in the World of Radio Because I keep my ear to the waves, as well as receive many tips from others who do the same, I find myself privy to radio-related stories that might interest\u00a0SWLing Post\u00a0readers.\u00a0 To that end:\u00a0Welcome to the\u00a0SWLing Post\u2019s Radio Waves, a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;AM&quot;","block_context":{"text":"AM","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/category\/am\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/JRC-NRD-545-Dial-2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/JRC-NRD-545-Dial-2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/JRC-NRD-545-Dial-2.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/JRC-NRD-545-Dial-2.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/JRC-NRD-545-Dial-2.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":49248,"url":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2021\/06\/a-super-charged-solar-cycle-25\/","url_meta":{"origin":52078,"position":2},"title":"A Super-Charged Solar Cycle 25?!","author":"Robert Gulley","date":"June 12, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"There's an interesting post from spaceweather.com about two scientists who believe they have found evidence of solar activity which might indicate a super-cycle rivaling the best solar cycles ever recorded. (I, for one, would be thrilled for this since the last such super-cycle seems to have been before I was\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/category\/news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":46559,"url":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2020\/11\/radio-waves-potential-for-change-at-usagm-judge-rules-pack-unconstitutionally-interfered-with-voa-solar-cycle-25-could-be-strong-and-def-con-ham-radio-videos\/","url_meta":{"origin":52078,"position":3},"title":"Radio Waves: Potential for Change at USAGM, Judge Rules Pack Unconstitutionally Interfered With VOA, Solar Cycle 25 Could be Strong, and DEF CON Ham Radio Videos","author":"Thomas","date":"November 22, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Radio Waves:\u00a0 Stories Making Waves in the World of Radio Because I keep my ear to the waves, as well as receive many tips from others who do the same, I find myself privy to radio-related stories that might interest\u00a0SWLing Post\u00a0readers.\u00a0 To that end:\u00a0Welcome to the\u00a0SWLing Post\u2019s Radio Waves, a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Broadcasters&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Broadcasters","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/category\/broadcasters\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Zenith-Transoceanic-R-7000-2-angle-dial-e1540388425717.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Zenith-Transoceanic-R-7000-2-angle-dial-e1540388425717.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Zenith-Transoceanic-R-7000-2-angle-dial-e1540388425717.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/Zenith-Transoceanic-R-7000-2-angle-dial-e1540388425717.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":52367,"url":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2022\/04\/you-and-the-ionosphere-share-your-propagation-stories\/","url_meta":{"origin":52078,"position":4},"title":"You and the ionosphere: Share your propagation stories!","author":"Thomas","date":"April 6, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Many thanks to\u00a0SWLing Post\u00a0contributor,\u00a0Jock Elliott, who shares the following guest post: You and the ionosphere . . . a reader participation post By Jock Elliott, KB2GOM Here\u2019s a shocker for you: we live at the bottom of the sky. Above us there are multiple layers of the atmosphere, pressing down\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Guest Posts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Guest Posts","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/category\/guest-posts\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/external-content.duckduckgo.com_.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":38245,"url":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/2019\/06\/planetary-orbits-may-influence-11-year-solar-cycle\/","url_meta":{"origin":52078,"position":5},"title":"Planetary orbits may influence 11-year solar cycle","author":"Thomas","date":"June 19, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Many thanks to SWLing Post contributor, Dan Van Hoy, who shares this interesting article via Space.com: The orbits of Venus, Earth and Jupiter may explain the sun's regular 11-year cycle, a new study suggests. A team of researchers from Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR), a research institute in Dresden, Germany, showed that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;News&quot;","block_context":{"text":"News","link":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/category\/news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sun-Solar-Flare-CME-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sun-Solar-Flare-CME-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sun-Solar-Flare-CME-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sun-Solar-Flare-CME-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/54"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52078"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52078\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/swling.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}